Isidingo sensimbi yomhlaba wonke sizoshintsha kanjani ngo-2023?Ngokwemiphumela yokubikezela ekhishwe yiMetallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute muva nje, isidingo sensimbi emhlabeni wonke ngo-2023 sizoveza izici ezilandelayo:
E-Asia.Ngo-2022, ukukhula komnotho wase-Asia kuzobhekana nezinselelo ezinkulu ngaphansi kwethonya lokuqina kwesimo sezimali emhlabeni wonke, ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, kanye nokwehla kokukhula komnotho waseChina.Uma sibheka phambili ku-2023, i-Asia isesimweni esihle sokuthuthukiswa komnotho emhlabeni wonke, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ingene esigabeni sokwehla ngokushesha kwamandla emali, futhi izinga lokukhula komnotho wayo lizodlula ezinye izifunda.I-International Monetary Fund (IMF) ilindele ukuthi umnotho wase-Asia ukhule ngo-4.3% ngo-2023. Ngokwesahlulelo esibanzi, isidingo sensimbi yase-Asia ngo-2023 singamathani ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.273, ekhuphuka ngo-0.5% unyaka nonyaka.
EYurophu.Ngemuva kwengxabano, ukushuba kwesimo sokuthengwa kwempahla emhlabeni wonke, intengo yamandla nokudla iyaqhubeka nokukhuphuka, ngo-2023 umnotho waseYurophu uzobhekana nezinselelo ezinkulu nokungaqiniseki, izingcindezi eziphezulu zokwehla kwamandla emali okubangelwa ukwehla komsebenzi wezomnotho, ukushoda kwamandla kwezinkinga zokuthuthukiswa kwezimboni, ukukhuphuka kwezindleko zokuphila. futhi ukuzethemba kokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi kuzoba ukuthuthukiswa komnotho waseYurophu.Esahlulelweni esibanzi, isidingo sensimbi saseYurophu ngo-2023 singamathani ayizigidi eziyi-193, sehle ngo-1.4% unyaka nonyaka.
I-South America.Ngo-2023, edonswa ukwehla kwamandla emali emhlabeni wonke, amazwe amaningi aseNingizimu Melika azobhekana nengcindezi enkulu yokuvuselela umnotho wawo, ukulawula ukwehla kwamandla emali nokudala amathuba omsebenzi, futhi ukukhula kwawo komnotho kuzokwehla kancane.I-International Monetary Fund ibikezela ukuthi umnotho waseNingizimu Melika uzokhula ngo-1.6% ngo-2023. Phakathi kwazo, ingqalasizinda, izindlu kanye nemiklamo yamandla avuselelekayo, amachweba, amaphrojekthi kawoyela negesi kulindeleke ukuthi akhuphuke, ngenxa yesidingo sensimbi yaseBrazil, okuholela ngqo ukuphindaphindeka kwesidingo sensimbi eNingizimu Melika.Sekukonke, isidingo sensimbi eNingizimu Melika sifinyelele amathani ayizigidi ezingama-42.44, sikhuphuke ngo-1.9% unyaka nonyaka.
Afrika.Umnotho wase-Afrika ukhule ngesivinini ngo-2022. Ngenxa yomthelela wokungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, amanani kawoyela emazweni aphesheya anyuke kakhulu, kanti amanye amazwe ase-Europe aseshintshele e-Afrika isidingo samandla kagesi, okuwukhuphule ngempumelelo umnotho wase-Afrika.
I-International Monetary Fund ibikezela ukuthi umnotho wase-Afrika uzokhula ngamaphesenti angu-3.7 unyaka nonyaka ngo-2023. Njengoba amanani entengo kawoyela ephezulu kanye nenani elikhulu lemiklamo yengqalasizinda eqalisiwe, isidingo sensimbi sase-Afrika kulindeleke ukuthi sifinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-41.3 ngo-2023, sikhuphuke ngo-5.1% ngonyaka unyaka.
eMpumalanga Ephakathi.Ngo-2023, ukusimama komnotho eMpumalanga Ephakathi kuzoncika emananini kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe, ezinyathelweni zokuhlukaniswa kwabantu, ububanzi bezinqubomgomo zokusekela ukukhula, kanye nezinyathelo zokunciphisa umonakalo womnotho obangelwe yilolu bhubhane.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, i-geopolitics nezinye izici zizoletha ukungaqiniseki ekuthuthukisweni komnotho waseMpumalanga Ephakathi.I-International Monetary Fund ibikezela ukuthi iMpumalanga Ephakathi izokhula ngo-5% ngo-2023. Ngokwesinqumo esibanzi, isidingo sensimbi eMpumalanga Ephakathi ngo-2023 singamathani ayizigidi ezingu-51, phezulu ngo-2% ngonyaka.
I-Oceania.Amazwe asetshenziswa kakhulu insimbi e-Oceania yi-Australia neNew Zealand.Ngo-2022, umsebenzi wezomnotho wase-Australia wasimama kancane kancane, futhi nokuzethemba kwebhizinisi kwakhula.Umnotho waseNew Zealand ususimama, ngenxa yokusimama kwezinsiza nezokuvakasha.I-International Monetary Fund ibikezela ukuthi i-Australia ne-New Zealand zombili zizokhula ngo-1.9% ngo-2023. Ngokusho kwesibikezelo esibanzi, isidingo se-Oceania steel ngo-2023 singamathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.10, sikhuphuke ngo-2.9% unyaka nonyaka.
Ngokombono wesimo sezulu sokushintsha kokufunwa kwensimbi ezifundeni ezinkulu zomhlaba, ngo-2022, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi e-Asia, eYurophu, emazweni e-Commonwealth of Independent States kanye naseNingizimu Melika konke kwakhombisa ukwehla.Phakathi kwawo, amazwe e-CIS yiwo athinteka kakhulu engxabanweni phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, kanti nentuthuko yezomnotho yamazwe akulesi sifunda yakhungatheka kakhulu, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi kwehla ngo-8.8% unyaka nonyaka.Ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi eNyakatho Melika, e-Afrika, eMpumalanga Ephakathi nase-Oceania kukhombise ukunyuka, nokukhula konyaka ngo-0.9%, 2.9%, 2.1% no-4.5% ngokulandelana.Ngo-2023, isidingo sensimbi emazweni e-CIS naseYurophu kulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke nokwehla, kanti isidingo sensimbi kwezinye izifunda sizokhula kancane.
Kusukela ekushintsheni kwephethini yesidingo sensimbi ezindaweni ezihlukahlukene, ngo-2023, isidingo sensimbi yase-Asia emhlabeni sizohlala sizungeze ama-71%;isidingo sensimbi eYurophu naseNyakatho Melika sizohlala okwesibili nokwesithathu, isidingo sensimbi eYurophu sizokwehla ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-10.7%, isidingo sensimbi saseNyakatho Melika sizokhula ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kuya ku-7.5%.Ngo-2023, isidingo sensimbi emazweni e-CIS sizokwehla sibe ngu-2.8%, uma siqhathaniswa naso eMpumalanga Ephakathi;ukuthi e-Afrika naseNingizimu Melika izonyuka ifike ku-2.3% no-2.4% ngokulandelana.
Sekukonke, ngokohlaziyo lokuthuthukiswa komnotho emhlabeni wonke kanye nesifunda kanye nesidingo sensimbi, isidingo sensimbi emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi sifinyelele amathani ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.801 ngo-2023, nokukhula konyaka ngonyaka ngo-0.4%.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jun-26-2023